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Wednesday, June 14, 2023

Keep The Faith To Lead! Success Follows!

Not everyday is the market predictable.

It may be that socially, economically or politically or to natural disasters, or things related to any of those, can be reasons for a low return in the Market. 
May be you invested on Crypto and they are losing their values incessantly, right in front of your eyes, unexpectedly.

May be you do not want to manipulate this time, and just want to see how the trend in the Market keeps going. 

TSLA for instance was doing good in picking up the upbeat and demanding a trend .. until the Bloomberg analysts and whole lot of folks down the alley thought that is a to go thing and would manifest itself as a leading investment. 
Boy, could we go wrong. What you assume is a Market leader, can be a rudimentary effort in it’s struggle for existence, nevermind the analysts, pandits or simply apprehensive you or I, Market trend may change anytime for whatever reason and leave you in awe by the end of the day, unless of course you trade in 24 hour market and find the margins further diminished and may finally decide to let the show go on in a different costume. Or just, you might wanna give it a  break💔.

However the Market, being cyclical as you would try, try again, until you learn the trade to be successful and exceed your expectations... that is..

Yes, candles and AI, bands and guys, love for Fibonacci’s all may be there, but you, have to believe in heart, that you are successful, believe in yourself, and see the blessings of Mother, Goddess of wealth at all times, in the back of your mind, in all things! Tomorrow, may be brighter than today!  
Later!

Keep The Force Alive! Do Research & Study!

Today onwards, I am thinking, I would refresh my knowledge of Fundamental Analysis of Markets once again. 
Now, you may ask me, what difference does it make Jiji, you are not in the class, right? Well, I would say, we are students, all through our lives and it does not hurt revising fundamentals anytime of our lives.
I know, what you may want to say, ‘Jiji, this is not going to help me answer my questions for my assignment or exam!’  Does it mean, we limit our knowledge acquiring only until we graduate from a class? Absolutely not! 
We gain knowledge to find answers practically, so as to find solutions we face in life, be it in business or any field of knowledge. One does not have to continue to be a student to improve their skill set, or knowledge, say in a medical field, once they graduate, and are practicing physicians in order to learn new skills from current technology and scientific knowledge that are a requirement.
So, I would share my learning with you soon. It would be an ongoing effort, nevertheless, relevant to me and hoping it would make sense at least to one more person.
To begin with today’s over all goal, I am proposing to see how and what knowledge I am seeking and how I am going to apply it in learning, that shows in the action, as I understand a price, market etc in applying in buying stocks, say in any independent platform of your choice. 
The premise is to start slowly and get to learn by applying practically, any skill set you intend to improve for a better understanding. If you like to buy stocks there is no stopping you except the limits and stops, which may I suggest, we go by the book!
For now let us keep the Force alive in US!
A quick take: 
I would go with TSLA before TA.. although personally prefer to use residuals to encourage anything going towards 🛑! That would be one drop of encouragement to turn it into running 💚.

Monday, May 29, 2023

The Stocks In The Market Go Up And Down! And Up..

What a weak market we have crossed just within a couple of weeks! Microsoft, Apple, Tesla, you name it all went down just one week back, until policy makers have come up with a solution for funding. 
Like a projectile would lift, the life line was restored, Markets took a breath of fresh air and started rising from the pits of the bear to forward marching bulls once again. 

Small conveniences however were every where, if you could put in even partial amounts into your favorite tickers, the flat liners started raising. Now is the time you invest in guys like Lloyd’s with ticker symbol LYG.

Umpteen number of stocks, ETFs are floating the economy from drowning to booming. It is time to invest and not worry about cyclical nature of volatile stock prices, which go down a little so they climb up again. What are you waiting for?

Tuesday, September 26, 2017

You Can Do!

My YouTube watching!

I watch so many programs each day, but I am very selective about the shows. They can vary from movies, film songs, lectures, DIY projects of art, technology, embroidery, make up, cooking and so many more.
Some shows are very inspiring and some very boring.
I like to watch those shows that are inspiring, again and again.
I usually add them to my favorite video shows on youtube.
I have a better idea, why not post them on my blog and add my commentary or response, just so, it is there for me to go back and see how some days were registered on my memory lane, for good?!
So here we go, I shall make a schedule of the type of shows I watch, as well as write my comments.
Let us see. Today being a Tuesday, it would be my first vlog or blog of sorts.
I am going to add few links that I watched and how they create an inspiration.
In the following video link, the simple DIY art project of designing a mug artistically, say an Alice in The Wonderland cup. However, it is not vanishing Cheshire Cat mug, if that is what you are looking for. LOL!
I like this project because it can inspire you to create many such artistic ideas into action, and who knows, someone may really develop their art into a vocation or an avocation!
Pay attention to the required material, as well as details of how it is all put together.
 https://youtu.be/kie4IvdMTWo
The funny part is anyone can doodle, but only few can make the ideas preserved.
One can create different patterns from their culture and create anything of their choice.
One other similar project is printing pictures on mugs and T-shirts.  It would cost a lot to have them professionally done, if there is a favorite picture that you like to see in a different form. With this technique, you do not have to be choosy, which of the picture you like to print on a T-shirt or a mug.
Make sure you pay attention to have a mirror image copy of the picture, in case you do not want the final product to be a replica of your mirror image!
Take a look at the two links below, and let me know how you enjoyed watching what I did!

 https://youtu.be/4sdXLurtavo

 https://youtu.be/ShXg3Q6XcEU

Now that you have seen some of the beautiful shows that I saw on YouTube,  let us relax with a classical dance of my favorite child artist, during these Navaratri festival days.
 https://youtu.be/fPG6DUy4OrI
Ciao!

You can do!

My YouTube watching!
I watch so many programs each day, but I am very selective about the shows. They can vary from movies, film songs, lectures, DIY projects of art, technology, embroidery, make up, cooking and so many more. Some shows are very inspiring and some very boring. I like to watch those shows that are inspiring, again and again. I usually add them to my favorite video shows on youtube.
I have a better idea, why not post them on my blog and add my commentary or response, just so, it is there for me to go back and see how some days were registered on my memory lane, for good?!
So here we go, I shall make a schedule of the type of shows I watch, as well as write my comments.
Let us see. Today being a Tuesday, it would be my first vlog or blog of sorts.
I am going to add few links that I watched and how they create an inspiration.
In the following video link, the simple DIY art project of designing a mug artistically, say an Alice in The Wonderland cup. However, it is not vanishing Cheshire Cat mug, if that is what you are looking for. LOL!
I like this project because it can inspire you to create many such artistic ideas into action, and who knows, someone may really develop their art into a vocation or an avocation!
Pay attention to the required material, as well as details of how it is all put together.
https://youtu.be/kie4IvdMTWo
The funny part is anyone can doodle, but only few can make the ideas preserved. One can create different patterns from their culture and create anything of their choice.
One other similar project is printing pictures on mugs and T-shirts.
It would cost a lot to have them professionally done, if there is a favorite picture that you like to see in a different form.
With this technique, you do not have to be choosy, which of the picture you like to print on a T-shirt or a mug. Make sure you pay attention to have a mirror image copy of the picture, in case you do not want the final product to be a replica of your mirror image!
Take a look at the two links below, and let me know how you enjoyed watching what I did!

https://youtu.be/4sdXLurtavo

https://youtu.be/ShXg3Q6XcEU

Now that you have seen some of the beautiful shows that I saw on YouTube, let us relax with a classical dance of my favorite child artist, during these Navaratri festival days.

https://youtu.be/fPG6DUy4OrI Ciao!

Tuesday, September 8, 2015

Risk

Reinsurance: A Review

The article Reinsurance is about the process of reinsurance by insurance company owners, who buy insurance to pay for their insurances, in terms of insurance payment.
Primary insurers and reinsurers both share the premiums and losses, or reinsurers may bear the primary company’s losses above a certain dollar limit for a fee. 
Risks of various kinds of natural disasters, are being sold by insurers and reinsurers to institutional investors in the form of catastrophe bonds and other alternative risk-spreading mechanisms, which was not available earlier.
 
Important insights of Reinsurance:

One main insight into the insurance business that Reinsurance provides is to ensure it will be able to pay all potential future claims related to the policies it issues. 
Although By this requirement insurers protect consumers, it limits the amount of business an insurer can take on. Therefore, if the insurer can reduce its responsibility, or liability, for these claims by transferring a part of the liability to another insurer, it can lower the amount of capital it must maintain to satisfy regulators that it is in good financial health and will be able to pay the claims of its policyholders. 

The important thing is, capital freed up in this way can support more or larger insurance policies. 
The primary insurer, the company that issues insurance, is ceded by a secondary insurer, a company that assumes liability from the primary insurer, and is known as the reinsurer. Primary companies are said to “cede” business to a reinsurer.

The two insurance types, Treaty and Facultative are the main types of insurance. The treaty type of insurance is agreed upon by the two groups and the insurer covers pretty much all the aspects that ate stated in the treaty. 
Facultative insurance is issued by reinsurance company, and it can agree or reject different coverages the insurer initially offers. If the reinsurance company observes any attitudinal or methodical discrepancies in observing safety and precaution, it has liberty to reject if the company finds any objectionable or malpractices. 

Insurance coverage can be pro-rata or non-proportional. Pro-rata coverage usually is covered by both primary insurer and reinsurance company, by sharing both losses as well as premiums. 
Excess of loss or non- proportional insurance is covered to an extent by the primary insurer and above that, possible losses are covered by reinsurer, who is paid premiums by the primary insurance.  Example of such losses are are hurricane and other such disasters.

This aspect is very much similar to what we discussed in the class, about the coverage of insurance, even after the deductibles are paid by the person or company or property insured by the owner, the reinsurance company can reimburse the amount paid as deductibles. 

Reinsurance has come to be regularized since the mid to late 80s. Insurers submit financial statements to regulators who monitor their financial health. "Financial health includes assuming prudent risk or liability for future claims. The principal value of reinsurance to a ceding company (the purchaser of reinsurance) for regulatory purposes is the recognition on the ceding company's financial statement of a reduction in its liabilities in terms of two accounts: its unearned premium reserve and its loss reserve. 
The unearned premium reserve is the amount of premiums equal to the unexpired portion of insurance policies, i.e., insurance protection that is still "owed" to the policyholder and for which funds would have to be returned to the policyholder should the policyholder cancel the policy before it expired. 

The loss reserve is made up of funds set aside to pay future claims. The transfer of part of the insurance company’s business to the reinsurer reduces its liability for future claims and for return of the unexpired portion of the policy. 
The reduction in these two accounts is commensurate with the payments that can be recovered from reinsurers, known as recoverables. The insurer’s financial statement recognizes as assets on the balance sheet any payments that are due from the reinsurer for coverage paid for by the ceding company."
This is a very important element in understanding how reinsurance is regulated as well as executed. Losses are covered to the extent the primary insurance company agrees, and what the reinsurance company either follows by the treaty or deems it as necessary loss to be covered. The unearned premium of the insurance coverage will be returned to the policy holder, should they decide to close, while it is still unexpired. This and the loss reserve forms the recoverables from the reinsurers.

After observing complications that arose after the 80s and 90s, in order to enable regulators, policyholders and investors to assess a company's financial condition more accurately, the NAIC requires insurance companies to deduct 20 percent of anticipated reinsurance recoverables from their policyholders’ surplus on their financial statements—surplus is roughly equivalent to capital—when amounts are overdue by more than 90 days. The rule helps regulators identify problem reinsurers for regulatory actions and encourages insurers to purchase reinsurance from companies that are willing and able to pay reinsured losses promptly

Hurricane Andrew and Katrina and other catastrophes have generated development in the insurance industry, to rely on reinsurance and the industry is also regulated to avoid risks and irregularities and cover losses and minimize overpayment.

The article is identifying reinsurance, regulation, problems faced by studying over a period of more than twenty years. A catastrophe bond, resulting, "is a specialized security that increases insurers’ ability to provide insurance protection by transferring the risk to bond investors. Commercial banks and other lenders have been securitizing mortgages for years, freeing up capital to expand their mortgage business. Insurers and reinsurers issue catastrophe bonds to the securities market through an issuer known as a special purpose reinsurance vehicle (SPRV) set up specifically for this purpose. These bonds have complicated structures and are typically created offshore, where tax and regulatory treatment may be more favorable. SPRVs collect the premium from the insurance or reinsurance company and the principal from investors and hold them in a trust in the form of U.S. Treasuries or other highly rated assets, using the investment income to pay interest on the principal. Catastrophe bonds pay high interest rates but if the trigger event occurs, investors lose the interest and sometimes the principal, depending on the structure of the bond, both of which may be used to cover the insurer’s disaster losses. Bonds may be issued for a one-year term or multiple years, often three."
In addition to catastrophe bonds, other options were also introduced, but they could not take off. 
Natural disasters, wars, terroristic activities that were not available for insurance are now managed and risk spread out and reduced due to reinsurance coverage. 
Article also throws light on nine-eleven of September, 2001and later problems faced by large scale of people and companies. 
Globalization is spreading the geographic regions that needs to be covered by reinsurance, owing to the fact that, there are companies in more vulnerable parts of the world in different countries. 
Insurance to different items like what has happened in New Delhi in 2013, and other places, where women are raped, tortured and left to die, and honor deaths, should be available and also, precautionary measures available, where self-help trainings, awareness camps, overseeing authorities, should also be developed, in addition to offering of insurance by may be privatized companies or government bodies, in the global arena, and also provide security to women being trafficked to different countries and cultures. 
This is one dark side in the society, where no one is willing to act upon, as it is not conducted by one person but is an organized crime. Funds from States and Unions should be allocated to protect these as well as those people who are losing their people in wars, and calamities and due to starvation and negligence. This may outrightly seem out of the boundary of insurance, but I am foreseeing a future, where not only insurance companies, regulators but also law and order, non profit organizations may act in tandem. 

References:
"Reinsurance" from Insurance Information Institute, November, 2014.
The Essential Guide to Reinsurance: Solutions to 21st Century Challenges. Swiss Re, 2012. A guide to the concepts of reinsurance and its contributions to the economy and society.

"Reinsurance: Fundamentals and New Challenges," Insurance Information Institute, 2004.
I'm

Monday, August 17, 2015

A Question of Sales in the Local Shops, in a Global Economy, and a Cultural, Social and Patriarchal Outlook, and Some Confusion!



Jiji was relaxing in the living room when she heard her old classmate call her,late in the afternoon. She was trying to share one experience with her friend that day. 
"Jiji, last Saturday, i went to a local shop in fashion and jewelry from ethnic styles, to purchase some pooja items for oncoming Shravan masam poojalu. I did not plan to spend a lot. I just took some four pieces, although I only needed one or two, of one yard pooja cloths which are made from rayon or other art stuff. They were together billed for 25 USD or so. However, The shop owner, was not happy, if I was doing a small purchase. He went on showing all stuff, using all his tactics, saying that I do not have to buy if I do not want to, and spreading a bunch of goods to be purchased, for vayanalu, (gifts) ammavaru alankarana, etc. I ended up spending $150.00 for some 10-11 pieces of small gift items, a bunch of art jewelry for the Goddess, etc, he would say I must buy one gram gold jewelry also, because it is gold and went on saying I should buy two of them for the festival coming up, because they are on deal. I did not have to spend more than $10-$15 .00 but he uses all his marketing strategies by hiking up prices, and pretending to be selling for almost throw away prices. I used my cc to do the transactions, as it was quite a bit, and in summer, we do not get any classes, so my funds were quite limited. 
All the while he did not say anything about return policies, but I remember, once when I had to return something, I did get my money back some 26 dollars or so.. 
This morning I sent a message that i would like to return some of the items, he says,I can only exchange for goods, even the the card was still saying transaction was pending, and the items are just lying in the bag, untouched, after I returned home on Saturday evening, past 8:00 PM.
Their policy of posing in the benefit of the best interest of the customer, to force them psychologically to buy products not required, and irregular prices, I do not think is a winning answer to a business..." She paused.  She said, she posted it on social media too.. For which she received likes from some people, who value, regardless. She went on telling that it is not
 just that, the shop owner was even trying to talk about the number of times he sold her  the sarees on short term credit, earlier, with trust, and was sounding like threatening. He would leave her a message on the answering machine, saying,' lets RESOLVE.' He was angry that, she did not take his permission to post it on the social media, (duh) and he went on calling, one too many times, leaving her text messages, that his method of business and marketing practices were great. Where as it appeared they were more like pinching out of ones savings," she said.
Jiji smiled at her friend. All she said was, "next time, you should remember not to fall for sweet talk, instead concentrate on the things, that you need. It is an open market, you should know, when not to fall trap for such wasteful expenditures."
"However, the shop owner would further, lose his businesses, if that is the attitude he has." Said Jiji, and continued, "this is a free country, no body needs to threaten anyone. If anyone threatens or behaves rudely, they could be inviting trouble for themselves. " 
Jiji also said, on learning, how her close members and associates behaved as a result of the posting on social media, "it is natural in a patriarchal society, to snub the women, and not let them express their opinion, even with public interest." She learnt that her friend, eventually deleted some of the postings she made on social media, because her husband, went on expressing his disagreement, that she should not post about such a business as they know the person as a salesman, outside their showroom too. She also found some third parties express their displeasure about the situation, and silent treatment, by posting and sharing things like, 'only incapable people try to express disapproval or disagreement. Others would support them, etc.'

Now, the question is who is considered to be right, each person has their own vested interest also, as they all purchase items of culture and traditions, from this growing capitalist, monopolizing the community, who wants to hike up prices as and how he pleases, and also exploit the situation, because, no one else would cater to supplying all the ethnic, cultural and social needs..! If any sensible guy is reading, they would understand that it is only fair for the society to bring out a competitor! In fact across the next neighborhood, there are some others, who have started their business, but they are not much different from any of the guys around the local areas. It is true they are catering to specific cultural groups, keeping up the traditions, but it is also, exorbitant, outside, in the open market, to buy something that crosses seven seas before coming into the market!

This is where, Global economy plays a role by reaching to the consumer, by networking, and communicating by all media and also using all the tools, such as face to face, interpersonal, word of mouth, publicity and advertising, about their businesses and services, increasing economy and a self sustainable society. Music lessons, art forms, socialising, you name it, all are possible in a global society to reach audience in any corner of the society. Greatness!

Jiji was thinking further, and looking at the irony in the situation! It is true, her friend did not want to hurt her husband, by letting him think,
 that she did not listen to his advise to delete the postings, and so deleted every one of them that were possible to delete! Oh yes she also made sure, she copied the information before deleting and saving it to share in a different form. She knows, those words, would remind her of a quotation Dr. Chitra Divakaruni shares! It was about, being careful with a writer, because, if they are not, their words and their actions would find a place in the write ups, and let the world be aware of how things are going on. Yes, each word will reach the world and more.. And more!
Aah, the social expectations about how women should behave, even when they perceive incongruence, inequality, and biases; they are expected to just take it..(sic) yeah, right baby! Jiji thought, because women are not dumb, if any, and know how to share knowledge, information, and shine! Don't you all agree! Duh. Haha! However, Jiji was considering, there must be an error, because the shop her friend was referring to was run by a gentleman, an ardent devotee. There must be a mistake definitely. 

It was not too long, before she heard back from her friend again. "Jiji, " her friend called, "I think there was an error my friend,"she said. "I need to apologise, you know the shop owner of the art jewelry and other artifacts and ethnic fashion clothe store owner, is decent. He is a gentleman, with good business skills. In fact the art jewelry he recommended sits on the Archa murthy idols so perfect, I am going to recommend his work to everyone. Specially, my husband was so pleased, looking at the garlands, jewelry, fitting perfectly to the God's idols, that the entire Altar was shining with brilliance. I recommend his customer relation to all! He is a nice person, takes good care of his customers, goes extra mile to provide the goods that they need for any or all ethnic and cultural activities. He is a respectable gentleman, with good business skills. There is a mistake, as there is no reason for one to complain. I take back the complaint I had, as it is only fair that we respect such a great entity, and the person who is going extra mile to make all the stuff available, even in a different nation, away from homeland! " she paused. 
Jiji, heard it all, and said, "my dear, it is always good to wait before you flare up and express your opinion, that could be negative, after consideration. Are you seeing your doctor, and therapist regularly!" 
"Oh, yeah, I am. In fact, I think I am improving pretty much and staying balanced!" Sara, her friend said. 
Jiji knew, she is telling truth, but there may definitely have been a mistake, when she flared up so much..."my dear, please take good care of your health. Not all times are easy to recorrect. Be well." 
Jiji was thinking, it is important to know truth from untruth, before delivering any message. 

***.   ****   ****

"Sara," called Jiji on phone, just so she could talk to her. 
"What is it, Jiji?" asked Sara.
"Well, just checkin' to see, how ya doin'?"
"I am ok, Jiji"replied Sara.
"Sara, tell me whats going on, you sound rather dull." Said Jiji.
"You know, Jiji, in fact I am" 
"Oh yea? Why so?" Asked Jiji.
"I was just thinking, the message I posted in a certain group mail.. It is not so much that what I told was fiction or imagination. I did not want someone to suffer consequences, because of something I pointed out. In fact, transactions in business are not always carved in stone. However, the shop owner requested that I remove it, so, I took it upon me. Instead, I should have just said, that I am not interested in proceeding further in this direction, and left it there." Sara replied.
Jiji smiled again, "O Sara, don't worry! You are not the person running the world, remember, the world has its own life. People are wise and can make their own judgments! You do not control their thought processes! They can see for themselves, what is right, and what is different! I would not worry about it. All I care right now is that, you are ok, and you are not hurting. It is just fine, my dear. If any one is doing right, no amount of saying otherwise would blemish anything they do. It is not upto you, how the world goes. I would have a fresh cup of tea, relax and wish everyone well!"
Jiji, was pouring herself some hot tea from her favorite orange kettle in her tall, flowery mug from Whole Food Stores, and remembered, how it went in different parts, with that food store chain, just a few months back... as her lips curved in a smile..!